Monday, September 18, 2017

Here We Go Again: Triple East Coast Threat Jose, Maria and Lee

(Silver DoctorMaria is a feisty tropical storm raging in the Atlantic, and she’s expected to become a hurricane today just like her brother Jose who is off the East Coast, not to mention the fact that TS Lee is in hot pursuit…

Related NASA Satellite Images Prove Hurricanes are Being Engineered: 2 More are Coming (Video)

Source - The Event Chronicle

by Silver Doctor, September 17th, 2017

First there’s this:

The NHC is indeed the bearer of bad news:
Maria brought two brothers with her, and Jose is a category 1 hurricane off the East Coast:

From the Weather Channel:
  • High surf and rip currents will continue to affect the U.S. East Coast as Jose moves northward.
  • Rain and gusty winds from Jose could brush parts of the U.S. East Coast this week.
  • Tropical storm-force winds are possible along portions of the immediate coast.
  • Minor to moderate coastal flooding is also possible.Jose, a Category 1 hurricane in the western Atlantic, will continue to produce dangerous high surf and rip currents as it moves parallel to the Eastern Seaboard in the upcoming week. Rain and tropical storm-force winds could also brush portions of the East Coast.
And if that wasn’t enough, Lee is a tropical storm already:

Here is an excellent interview for preparing for disasters, including hurricanes, timely and fresh from Chris Martenson:
On this week’s podcast, Mat details his recommended steps for those facing imminent threat of crisis (Hurricane Irma), those with more time to prepare for one (Hurricane Jose), and those dealing with the aftermath of disaster (Hurricane Harvey).

With major hurricanes in our immediate past, present & future, the topic of how to prepare for a natural disaster is an extremely timely one. The right advance preparations can literally mean the difference between life and death. And of course, hurricanes aren’t the only reasons to prepare for an emergency.

As emergencies can be naturally-caused — like a flood, tornado or earthquake — or man-made — such as a financial crisis, social unrest, or war — everyone listening to this podcast has a vested interest in taking steps today to reduce their vulnerability should one of these unfortunate events occur where they live in the future.

This article (Here We Go Again: Triple East Coast Threat Jose, Maria and Lee) was originally published on Silver Doctors and syndicated by The Event Chronicle

RELATED: The Essential Guide to Preparing for a Hurricane

Continues from Strange Sounds…

Double hurricane blast on the US East Coast? Computer simulations show Jose and Maria could meet

Hurricane Jose is expected to cause direct impacts from Delaware northward to New England.

By Strange Sounds

Meanwhile, less than two weeks after Irma devastated the region, the Caribbean islands are again under threat from a named storm, this time Hurricane Maria. Computer simulations show Jose and Maria could meet along the US East coast.

Hurricane Jose and Maria could hit US east coast simultaneously

Tropical storm watches have been issued from Delaware up through Cape Cod. Additionally, Maria has officially strengthened to hurricane status, prompting hurricane warnings on the different Carabbean islands.

Hurricane Jose

Hurricane Jose is currently located about 350 miles off the coast of North Carolina with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph. The storm’s intensity shouldn’t change much over the next 48 hours, as the Jose slowly starts to move around the western edge of a large Bermuda High and toward the north.

Hurricane Jose will slowly move to the north this week, with tropical storm force winds potentially affecting parts of the east coast.

The latest European model forecast on Sunday suggests the storm center could come very close to the Northeast coast on Wednesday and, while remaining offshore, will be slow to depart. If it is correct, it could an extended period of coastal flooding from the Jersey shore to eastern New England, including around Long Island and New York City. In addition to the possibility of significant coastal flooding, the storm could bring tropical-storm force winds and gusts to hurricane force, along with very heavy rain.

Small shifts in the storm track are possible and will have important consequences on how hard coastal areas are hit.

Hurricane Maria

Meanwhile, hurricane Maria, with peak winds of 75 mph, was located about 400 miles east of the Lesser Antilles on Sunday night, moving quickly towards the northwest at 15 mph.

Fueled by warm ocean water and low wind shear, Maria officially reached hurricane strength on Sunday evening. Tropical storm and hurricane warnings extend from Barbados to Antigua as Maria should begin to impact the outer islands as early as tonight.

Path of Hurricane Maria

Maria will continue to intensify over the next few days, likely reaching major hurricane status (Category 3 or greater) on Wednesday. By that point, the storm will be on the doorstep of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. At Maria’s current forecast intensity and path through the Virgin Islands, it would mark the first time that two major hurricanes have passed so close to the island chain in the same season.

Jose and Maria last dance

Both the European and American models have indicated that some interaction between Jose and Maria will occur, affecting the path of both storms. After passing through the Caribbean islands, Maria is expected to continue on a general track toward the northwest, which could put the storm in a threatening position for the U.S. East Coast by next weekend.

The European model shows an interesting interaction between Jose and Maria next week.

The dance between Jose and Maria shown in recent models is known as the Fujiwara effect. It’s a rare phenomenon, especially in the Atlantic Ocean.

In the meantime, Maria’s immediate threat to the Caribbean is very real and very dangerous, while Jose still bears watching for some impacts along the coast from Virginia to New England.

Follow Strange Sounds on Facebook and Twitter.

This article (Potential of double hurricane blasts on the US East Coast) was originally published on Strange SOunds and syndicated by The Event Chronicle.

Continues from The Watchers…

Maria rapidly intensifying, about to slam into Leeward Islands as a major hurricane

Hurricane “Maria” is expected to rapidly intensify over the next 48 hours and slam into the Leeward Islands as a major, Category 3 or 4 hurricane late Monday, September 18 / early Tuesday, September 19, 2017 (local time). Maria is then expected to move over the extreme northeastern Caribbean Sea on September 19 and approach Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on Wednesday, September 20.

By The Watchers

At 15:00 UTC on September 18, the center of Hurricane “Maria” was located 95 km (60 miles) E of Martinique and 150 km (95 miles) ESE of Dominica. The system is moving WNW at 17 km/h (10 mph) with maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h (120 mph), making it a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Maria’s estimated minimum central pressure is 959 hPa.

Additional rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Maria is expected to be a dangerous major hurricane as it moves through the Leeward Islands and the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

On the forecast track, the center of Maria will move across the Leeward Islands late today, September 18 and tonight, over the extreme northeastern Caribbean Sea Tuesday, September 19 and Tuesday night, and approach Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on Wednesday, September 20.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for:
  • Guadeloupe
  • Dominica
  • St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
  • Martinique
  • St. Lucia
  • U.S. Virgin Islands
  • British Virgin Islands
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:
  • Antigua and Barbuda
  • Saba and St. Eustatius
  • St. Maarten
  • Anguilla
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for:
  • Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra
  • Saba and St. Eustatius
  • St. Maarten
  • St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
  • Anguilla
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:
  • Barbados
  • St. Vincent and the Grenadines
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of this system. Hurricane Warnings will likely be issued for Puerto Rico and the nearby islands this afternoon.

Hurricane “Maria” at 15:00 UTC on September 18, 2017. Credit: NOAA/GOES-16 (preliminary and non-operational)

Hurricane conditions are first expected within portions of the Leeward Islands by late today (local time), with tropical storm conditions beginning during the next few hours. Hurricane conditions should spread through the remainder of the hurricane warning area tonight through Tuesday night. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area Tuesday through Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possible later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch area through tonight.

A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 1.8 to 2.7 m (6 to 9 feet) above normal tide levels in the hurricane warning area near where the center of Maria moves across the Leeward Islands and the British Virgin Islands.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide:

Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands: 1.8 to 2.7 m (6 to 9 feet)

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the north and east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 152 to 304 mm (6 to 12 inches) with isolated maximum amounts of 508 mm (20 inches) across the central and southern Leeward Islands, and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands through Wednesday night. Rainfall amounts of 152 to 304 mm (6 to 12 inches) with isolated maximum amounts of 635 mm (25 inches) are expected across Puerto Rico.

Maria is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 51 to 102 mm (2 to 4 inches) with isolated maximum amounts of 203 mm (8 inches) over the remaining northern Leeward Islands from Barbuda to Anguilla, eastern portions of the Dominican Republic, as well as the Windward Islands and Barbados. Rainfall on all of these islands could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

Swells generated by Maria are affecting the Lesser Antilles. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Featured image: Hurricane “Maria” at 15:00 UTC on September 18, 2017. Credit: NOAA/GOES-16 (preliminary and non-operational)

This article (Maria rapidly intensifying, about to slam into Leeward Islands as a major hurricane) was originally published on The Watchers and syndicated by The Event Chronicle.

Video Update from Dahboo:

Video Updates from BPEarthWatch:

Hurricane Maria/Cat.3/Cat 4 by 8pm. Jose/Boston

Tropical Storm Warnings/DC to Boston

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